Ecuador News

Lasso’s support drops in latest election poll

Two weeks ahead of Ecuador’s presidential runoff election, the Cedatos-Gallup presidential poll reports that the small advantage for center-right candidate Guillermo Lasso is shrinking. The Cedatos poll is important for Lasso since it the only one that has given him the lead over Alianza Paía’ Lenin Moreno.

Guillermo Lasso’s support drops.

In numbers released Friday, Cedatos reported that Lasso leads Moreno 50.8% to 49.2%, down from the 52.1% to 47.9% advantage he held three weeks ago. The new results are within the poll’s margin of error

Out of several presidential polls tracking the February 19 election, Cedatos proved to be the most accurate. The other polls predicted that Moreno would win outright and that there would be no runoff. Cedatos has also proven the most accurate in three or the last four presidential elections.

Other poll results for the April 2 runoff include CIS: Moreno, 53%, Lasso 37%; Perfiles de Opinón, Moreno 51%, Lasso 35.5%; and Diagnostico, Moreno 50.5%, Lasso 41%.

  • Globetrotter

    A big banker in charge? Back to the good old days.

    • Jason Faulkner

      No country has elected a banker as president

    • AAD

      we have been in agreement before, but not on this one. thanks for the feed back.

  • Jason Faulkner

    CEDATOS proved to be the most accurate? The only thing they were accurate about was that there would be a second round. The other polls predicted Moreno would slightly get past the 40% margin. CEDATOS predicted Moreno would get 32%. They predicted Lasso would get 21%. That’s an 8% and 7% miss, respectively.

    This is the results of the last CEDATOS poll before the first round.

    http://www.eleccionesenecuador.com/noticia-resultados-ultima-encuesta-presidencial-cedatos-febrero-2017-266.html

    Enough already with this narrative. Cedatos was paid $27k by the Lasso campaign for the initial poll after the first round on February 28. Nobody is disputing that. The invoice has already been filed with the SRI. Of the five polls conducted on that same date, CEDATOS was the ONLY one who had Lasso in the lead, yet for some reason it’s the only one the local press reported. Now everyone is reporting on CEDATOS polls as if they set the benchmark. They are the only polling firm being paid by one of the campaigns and coincidentally the only one giving Lasso a chance. Their only purpose is to convince the opposition that Lasso has a chance so that when he loses by double digits they can claim fraud.

    • StillWatching

      Probably true.

  • Jason Faulkner

    Everyone favors him, which is why 72% of Ecuadorians didn’t vote for him.

    Come out of the bubble already. Nunca será presidente.

  • StillWatching

    Well supported argument so it must be true, Lasso will win [end sarcasm]

    No voy al trapo en usted adelante porque puedo ver que no es un orador inglés natal, pero su inglés es completamente incorrecto. Lo que escribió realmente dice que los partidarios del Lasso son corruptos y sólo le apoyan porque les paga para estar en su lado. Lo que pensó decir es obvio y mire cómo faulkner era un caballero y no se mofó hasta de usted para su error.

    • Ecuatoriana soy YO

      No se quien eres, y tampoco me interesa tu Castellano es terrible! No se te entiende nada! Tampoco voy a discutir con quien no vale la pena.. this Cuenca highlife sucks, you gringos think you know more about our people than we do. End of discussion!

      • StillWatching

        Es obvio que tú español es peor que tú inglés, pero estoy de acuerdo en que el diálogo ha terminado. Es imposible conversar con idiota como tú que no puedes escribir o pensar en cualquier idioma.

      • Jason Faulkner

        But he has insisted repeatedly that he is fluent in Spanish. 😛

      • AAD

        bien dicho ecuatoriana, yo tambien soy, y este pendejo claramente debe de estar en el manicomio!! que risa eso disque español que escribe. por suerte hay mucha gente buena que ha llegado tambien.

        • Ecuatoriana soy YO

          Sea quien sea es una bestia!! Mucha gente o ha sido comprada por el gobierno para crear discordia y confusion en el pueblo Ecuatoriano o simplemente son malvados de corazón, les encanta pelear y discutir, y por lo visto este infeliz es uno/a de esos. I blocked what ever it was. No quiero leer las estupideces que escribe.

  • AAD

    LATEST CEDATOS POLL: LASSO 52.3% OTHER GUY 47.6% released today Sunday at 21:00 and I refuse to believe it is that close. this is just preparation for attempted fraud, but they will desist at last minute, just as they did on Feb 19. Lasso already won.

    • Jason Faulkner

      There are 5 polls tracking the second round. CEDATOS is the only one giving Lasso the lead. Every other poll shows Lasso has peaked at 35%. So what’s the more likely scenario here? Either the other 4 polling firms are all completely off base or the one polling firm that received $27k from the Lasso campaign (CEDATOS) is making it up. Keep in mind that they were off by over 7% in the first round, predicting Moreno would only get 32% and Lasso would only get 21%.

      http://www.eleccionesenecuador.com/encuestas-presidenciales-ecuador.php

      But you’ve already drank the Kool-Aid like a good little burro. That’s why the Lasso campaign has paid so much money to CEDATOS. They’re washing the minds of useful idiots to believe that when Moreno does win by at least 15% as all the other polls are predicting, they can claim fraud. They already know there’s no way they can win, now it’s about starting riots. You people are so easy to manipulate, they even convinced you that Moreno was in AVC and was shot 10 years before he actually was. So gullible. Are you interested in purchasing a bridge?

  • AAD

    LATEST CEDATOS POLL: LASSO 52.3% OTHER GUY 47.6% released today Sunday at 21:00 and I refuse to believe it is that close. this is just preparation for attempted fraud, but they will desist at last minute, just as they did on Feb 19. Lasso already won.

  • AAD

    two days in a row this site has published ‘articles’ that seem to favor a “not lasso” win. lasso’s photo in the article shows him disheveled, “not lasso’s” photo shows him as pretty as his flowers. perhaps i am misinterpreting. curious.

    • Jason Faulkner

      Reality has a liberal bias.

  • AAD

    Si, les encanta pelear. Fomentan mucha mala energía. A mi hasta me trataron de enjuiciar un par de estos, no les ha ido muy bien, les gane, pero no antes de que causen daño. Pensaron que podían comprar la ley ecuatoriana. Y a veces lo logran. Pero bueno, hay que mantenerse en el tema de hoy y de este articulo: Lasso presidente de los Ecuatorianos, todos nosotros. ¡Y felicidad para todos!

    • lorenzo

      For those who don’t understand Spanish, you’re missing some good entertainment. StillWatch is getting trounced for being an unhappy, miserable, evil, (you get the idea) person who likes to fight and create bad energy.
      He’s also being criticized for his lack of Spanish language skills.
      Just as an FYI.